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What this means. A wallet put $12.7k on not No, at a price that gave it a 2% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 12 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.7k
SELL No @ 98.1¢ · 12,929 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet elPolloLoco took No (sell) for $12.7k at an average 98.1¢. At that price the market implied a 2% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.7k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 98.1¢
- Implied odds
- 1.9%
- Size
- $12.7k
- Placed
- Sep 02, 00:45 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 01, 16:54 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- elPolloLoco
- Tx
- 0xfcb0d57e…
This wallet's graded record
5/12+5.8 pts
expected 4.3 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $10.4k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $17.3k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $17.4k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $29.7k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $29.7k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $36.5k | excluded |