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What this means. A wallet put $17.4k on No, at a price that gave it a 24% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-3.4 pts over 28 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?excluded
$17.4k
BUY No @ 24¢ · 72,368 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet sbsigner took No (buy) for $17.4k at an average 24¢. At that price the market implied a 24% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $17.4k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 24¢ means
24%chance the market gave
+317American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
24¢
Implied odds
24.0%
As American odds
+317 no vig
Size
$17.4k
Placed
Jun 17, 12:02 EDT
Market close
Jun 17, 13:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
sbsigner
Tx
0xfb411ead…
This wallet's graded record
11/28-3.4 pts
expected 11.9 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +76 pts
No price · entry 24¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 24¢ · $17.4k WHALE $17.4K @ 24¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $43.2k
2.2× usual
0% Endgametheory129d agoexcluded
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $50.0k0% ChloeT1129d agoexcluded
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $43.2k0% GrizzliesSuck129d agoexcluded
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $13.0k0% weruix129d agoexcluded
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $10.4k0% TableMax129d agoexcluded
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?HIGH SELL No @ 90.5¢ $131.9k
6.8× usual
9% suntori LOSING129d agoexcluded