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What this means. A wallet put $114.6k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 91% chance. It won. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?called
$114.6k
BUY Yes @ 91¢ · 125,934 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $100kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)4× this wallet's usual betEconomy

What happened

Wallet b2d0 took Yes (buy) for $114.6k at an average 91¢. At that price the market implied a 91% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $114.6k+2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 91¢ means
91%chance the market gave
−1011American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
91¢
Implied odds
91.0%
Size
$114.6k
Placed
Jul 03, 10:28 EDT
Market close
Jul 28, 20:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
b2d0
Tx
0xf1b3fb93…
This wallet's graded record
2/2+7.5 pts
expected 1.8 from price
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