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What this means. A wallet put $22.7k on not No, at a price that gave it a 58% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$22.7k
SELL No @ 42¢ · 54,100 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet gardens took No (sell) for $22.7k at an average 42¢. At that price the market implied a 58% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $22.7k+0
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 42¢
- Implied odds
- 58.0%
- As American odds
- −138 no vig
- Size
- $22.7k
- Placed
- Mar 05, 20:52 EST
- Market close
- Apr 27, 23:08 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- gardens
- Tx
- 0xf12e8ecb…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-58.0 pts
expected 0.6 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $13.7k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 68¢ | $16.6k | called | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 68¢ | $16.4k | called | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 66¢ | $15.8k | missed | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 66¢ | $16.0k | missed | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 58¢ | $15.8k | called |