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What this means. A wallet put $22.7k on not No, at a price that gave it a 58% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?missed
$22.7k
SELL No @ 42¢ · 54,100 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Sports

What happened

Wallet gardens took No (sell) for $22.7k at an average 42¢. At that price the market implied a 58% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $22.7k+0
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
42¢
Implied odds
58.0%
As American odds
−138 no vig
Size
$22.7k
Placed
Mar 05, 20:52 EST
Market close
Apr 27, 23:08 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
gardens
Tx
0xf12e8ecb…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-58.0 pts
expected 0.6 from price
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Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $13.7k100% AgricultureSecretary180d agoexcluded
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?LOW SELL Yes @ 68¢ $16.6k32% sunziu226d agocalled
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?LOW SELL Yes @ 68¢ $16.4k32% gechang226d agocalled
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?LOW BUY Yes @ 66¢ $15.8k66% gechang226d agomissed
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?LOW BUY Yes @ 66¢ $16.0k66% sunziu226d agomissed
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?LOW SELL Yes @ 58¢ $15.8k42% malat233d agocalled