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Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.6 wins, so it did -58.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?−$102Yes · avg 35¢ → 5¢ · $17
Price-adjusted edge
-58.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.6
Flagged volume
$22.7k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$8,524
Last 30 days −$2 · $1.04M volume · 81 trades · since Nov 20, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$8,626
Open P&L · 1 positions
−$102
Closed-position win rate
56%
16 closed
Wallet age · markets
703d
17 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Sports100.6-58.0 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?LOW SELL No @ 42¢ $22.7k58% 232d agomissed

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x84c592…