← Live flags
Polymarket · Crypto · one bet
Excluded
$18.6k
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
kk7777777 sold Down at 99¢. Their side is the other outcome, which the price gave a 1% chance. 18,764 shares, Oct 29, 04:24 EDT.
What this means. A wallet put $18.6k on not Down, at a price that gave it a 1% chance. The market resolved Down, and this bet is not graded. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet
What happened
Wallet kk7777777 sold Down for $18.6k at an average 99¢. At that price the market implied 1% for the side they took. The market resolved Down. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
[02] Flag
Why it was flagged
Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology
Size $18.6k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Crypto
[04] Price
Entry to resolution
Entry to resolution
Grade -1 ptsDown price · entry 99¢ · resolved Down · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Related news
Same names, last 7 daysWhy Switzerland’s first genuine spot bitcoin ETF could soon attract overseas banks and brokersCoinDesk · 2h agoNew quantum model slashes hardware needed to break bitcoin keys by 17 timesCoinDesk · 2h agoAs $10 billion in bitcoin options near expiry, the tell is in the pricingCoinDesk · 4h agoBitcoin drops to $80,000 on Fed dissent, Samsung, Alphabet earnings; AI tokens slumpCoinDesk · 5h ago
Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules