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Polymarket · Sports · one bet

Excluded
$14.6k

Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Daniil Ostapenkov

keeptheblueflagflyinghig bought Daniil Ostapenkov at 8¢. The price gave that side a 8% chance. 183,507 shares, Oct 29, 18:54 EDT.

What this means. A wallet put $14.6k on Daniil Ostapenkov, at a price that gave it a 8% chance. The market resolved Liam Draxl, and this bet is not graded. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet keeptheblueflagflyinghig bought Daniil Ostapenkov for $14.6k at an average 8¢. At that price the market implied 8% for the side they took. The market resolved Liam Draxl. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

This wallet is 4 of 4 on graded bets, +47.5 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $14.6k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What 8¢ means
8%chance the market gave
+1156American odds
$1.00paid per share if Daniil Ostapenkov wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

[04] Price

Entry to resolution

Entry to resolution

Grade -8 pts
Daniil Ostapenkov price · entry 8¢ · resolved Liam Draxl
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 8¢ · $14.6k WHALE $14.6K @ 8¢
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

[05]

Other flags on this market

Market page
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Daniil OstapenkovLOW BUY Liam Draxl @ 85¢ $14.2k85% tenniz8h agoExcluded