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What this means. A wallet put $66.4k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 54% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-3.7 pts over 54 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$66.4k
BUY Yes @ 54¢ · 123,023 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0x2c33…0563 took Yes (buy) for $66.4k at an average 54¢. At that price the market implied a 54% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $66.4k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 54¢ means
54%chance the market gave
−117American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 54¢
- Implied odds
- 54.0%
- As American odds
- −117 no vig
- Size
- $66.4k
- Placed
- Oct 13, 14:43 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 13, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x2c33…0563
- Tx
- 0xe9f90393…
This wallet's graded record
27/54-3.7 pts
expected 29.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +46 ptsYes price · entry 54¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.8k | excluded | |
| MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $2.87M | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.1k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 99¢ | $10.4k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 55¢ | $10.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 46¢ | $50.0k 2.1× usual |
excluded |