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What this means. A wallet put $27.6k on Novak Djokovic, at a price that gave it a 85% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+6.4 pts over 33 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$27.6k
BUY Novak Djokovic @ 85¢ · 32,469 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Proven walletSports
What happened
Wallet 0F62 took Novak Djokovic (buy) for $27.6k at an average 85¢. At that price the market implied a 85% chance for that side. The market resolved Thiago Agustin Tirante. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $27.6k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 85¢ means
85%chance the market gave
−573American odds
$1.00paid per share if Novak Djokovic wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 85¢
- Implied odds
- 85.1%
- As American odds
- −573 no vig
- Size
- $27.6k
- Placed
- Aug 15, 14:52 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 15, 14:15 EDT
- Result
- Thiago Agustin Tirante
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0F62
- Tx
- 0xe993ab8f…
This wallet's graded record
30/33+6.4 pts
expected 27.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -85 ptsNovak Djokovic price · entry 85¢ · resolved Thiago Agustin Tirante
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Thiago Agustin Tirante @ 99.9¢ | $11.5k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Thiago Agustin Tirante @ 99.9¢ | $12.3k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Thiago Agustin Tirante @ 99.9¢ | $20.9k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Thiago Agustin Tirante @ 99.9¢ | $25.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Thiago Agustin Tirante @ 99.9¢ | $36.5k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Thiago Agustin Tirante @ 31¢ | $71.4k | excluded |