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What this means. A wallet put $79.4k on Spirit, at a price that gave it a 43% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$79.4k
BUY Spirit @ 43¢ · 183,420 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)2.3× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet SPCEXBUYER took Spirit (buy) for $79.4k at an average 43¢. At that price the market implied a 43% chance for that side. The market resolved Spirit. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $79.4k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 43¢ means
43%chance the market gave
+131American odds
$1.00paid per share if Spirit wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 43¢
- Implied odds
- 43.3%
- As American odds
- +131 no vig
- Size
- $79.4k
- Placed
- Aug 21, 12:31 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 21, 12:30 EDT
- Result
- Spirit
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- SPCEXBUYER
- Tx
- 0xe872336d…
This wallet's graded record
2/6-12.0 pts
expected 2.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +57 ptsSpirit price · entry 43¢ · resolved Spirit
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | LOW SELL Spirit @ 99.9¢ | $12.9k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | LOW SELL Spirit @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | LOW SELL Spirit @ 99.9¢ | $16.2k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | LOW BUY Spirit @ 99¢ | $12.1k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | LOW BUY Spirit @ 96¢ | $15.3k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | MED BUY Vitality @ 49¢ | $43.8k | excluded |