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What this means. A wallet put $26.5k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 73% chance. It won. This wallet has only 10 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$26.5k
BUY Yes @ 73¢ · 36,342 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet hitfardedidi took Yes (buy) for $26.5k at an average 73¢. At that price the market implied a 73% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $26.5k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 73¢ means
73%chance the market gave
−270American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 73¢
- Implied odds
- 73.0%
- As American odds
- −270 no vig
- Size
- $26.5k
- Placed
- Jul 07, 08:50 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 07, 12:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- hitfardedidi
- Tx
- 0xe3e89036…
This wallet's graded record
5/10-0.3 pts
expected 5.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +27 ptsYes price · entry 73¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $17.0k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | HIGH SELL Yes @ 77¢ | $199.8k 10.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $22.5k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.2k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $27.4k | excluded |