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What this means. A wallet put $232.0k on Over, at a price that gave it a 52% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 11 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Thunder vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5excluded
$232.0k
BUY Over @ 52¢ · 442,380 shares in 4 fills
Size ≥ $100k4 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet 0x4924…3782 took Over (buy) for $232.0k at an average 52¢. At that price the market implied a 52% chance for that side. The market resolved Under. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $232.0k+2
4 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 52¢ means
52%chance the market gave
−110American odds
$1.00paid per share if Over wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
52¢
Implied odds
52.4%
As American odds
−110 no vig
Size
$232.0k
Placed
Mar 01, 19:37 EST
Market close
Mar 01, 20:00 EST
Result
Under
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
0x4924…3782
Tx
0xe3282a2a…
This wallet's graded record
6/11+2.5 pts
expected 5.7 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -52 pts
Over price · entry 52¢ · resolved Under
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 52¢ · $232.0k WHALE $232.0K @ 52¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Thunder vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5LOW BUY Over @ 52¢ $25.7k52% Gh0stTradez236d agoexcluded