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What this means. A wallet put $25.8k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 15% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$25.8k
SELL Yes @ 85¢ · 30,252 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Economy
What happened
Wallet 456ythgbvcadscvb took Yes (sell) for $25.8k at an average 85¢. At that price the market implied a 15% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $25.8k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 85¢
- Implied odds
- 14.6%
- Size
- $25.8k
- Placed
- Jul 22, 07:50 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 28, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 456ythgbvcadscvb
- Tx
- 0xe28bf2c6…
This wallet's graded record
1/2+4.8 pts
expected 0.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -15 ptsYes price · entry 85¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $19.1k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.5k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.7k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.2k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.8k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.1k | excluded |