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What this means. A wallet put $29.3k on not magic, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$29.3k
SELL magic @ 99.9¢ · 29,300 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet CORGII took magic (sell) for $29.3k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved magic. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $29.3k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $29.3k
- Placed
- Sep 09, 03:10 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 08, 23:10 EDT
- Result
- magic
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- CORGII
- Tx
- 0xe18d7105…
This wallet's graded record
5/6+40.3 pts
expected 2.6 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL magic @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL magic @ 99.9¢ | $18.2k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL magic @ 99.9¢ | $30.5k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY magic @ 98.4¢ | $11.1k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY magic @ 41¢ | $12.0k | called | |
| LOW BUY FaZe @ 60¢ | $33.9k | missed |