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What this means. A wallet put $256.1k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 82% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$256.1k
BUY Yes @ 82¢ · 313,425 shares
Size ≥ $250kSports
What happened
Wallet 0x14c7…9ccf took Yes (buy) for $256.1k at an average 82¢. At that price the market implied a 82% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $256.1k+3
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 82¢ means
82%chance the market gave
−447American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 82¢
- Implied odds
- 81.7%
- As American odds
- −447 no vig
- Size
- $256.1k
- Placed
- Aug 26, 13:57 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 26, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x14c7…9ccf
- Tx
- 0xe0122226…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-68.4 pts
expected 0.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +18 ptsYes price · entry 82¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $590.3k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 97.9¢ | $16.3k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 99¢ | $30.8k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Yes @ 87¢ | $70.0k 4.4× usual |
excluded | |
| MED SELL Yes @ 88¢ | $33.7k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 87¢ | $12.2k | excluded |