Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?

gambler13 sold Yes at 78¢. Their side is the other outcome, which the price gave a 22% chance. 13,375 shares, Oct 28, 20:21 EDT.

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What this means. A wallet put $10.4k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 22% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →

[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet gambler13 sold Yes for $10.4k at an average 78¢. At that price the market implied 22% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $10.4k+0

Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1

Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other

[04] Price

Price since the bet

Price since this bet

Since entry -1.0 pts

Yes price · entry 78¢ · now 79¢ · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way

Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days

Melania or the pope: Who brokered Russia-Ukraine ceasefire in Oleshky?Al Jazeera · Google News · 2d ago Russia, Ukraine agree on ceasefire in embattled town, to hold peace talks next monthReuters · Google News · 5d ago Drones make the Russia-Ukraine war front line a ‘kill zone’NPR · Google News · 5d ago Russia, Ukraine agree to US-brokered, 1 city ceasefireDW.com · Google News · 5d ago

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

RURussia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?