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What this means. A wallet put $11.7k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 11% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.7k
SELL Yes @ 89¢ · 13,201 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Economy
What happened
Wallet comfyinyes took Yes (sell) for $11.7k at an average 89¢. At that price the market implied a 11% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.7k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 89¢
- Implied odds
- 11.0%
- Size
- $11.7k
- Placed
- Jul 03, 20:06 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 28, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- comfyinyes
- Tx
- 0xd5ddaa0f…
This wallet's graded record
2/4+5.3 pts
expected 1.8 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $19.1k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.5k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.7k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.2k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.8k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.1k | excluded |