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Polymarket · Other · one bet

OpenResolves Dec 31
$11.7k

Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?

Lolakis sold No at 82¢. Their side is the other outcome, which the price gave a 18% chance. 14,273 shares, Oct 29, 13:39 EDT.

Plain exchange link. No referral code.

What this means. A wallet put $11.7k on not No, at a price that gave it a 18% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet Lolakis sold No for $11.7k at an average 82¢. At that price the market implied 18% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $11.7k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
[04] Price

Price since the bet

Price since this bet

Since entry -1.5 pts
No price · entry 82¢ · now 84¢ · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
71¢78¢86¢ Whale entry 82¢ · $11.7k WHALE $11.7K @ 82¢ -1 PTS
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.