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What this means. A wallet put $58.1k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 60% chance. It won. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?called
$58.1k
BUY Yes @ 60¢ · 96,815 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $10k3 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)2.8× this wallet's usual betEconomy

What happened

Wallet gaven-willwin took Yes (buy) for $58.1k at an average 60¢. At that price the market implied a 60% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $58.1k+1
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 60¢ means
60%chance the market gave
−150American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
60¢
Implied odds
60.0%
Size
$58.1k
Placed
Sep 02, 02:03 EDT
Market close
Sep 15, 20:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
gaven-willwin
Tx
0xd2fc72fd…
This wallet's graded record
2/3-14.6 pts
expected 2.4 from price
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