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Polymarket · Sports · one bet

Excluded
$32.7k

M15 João Pessoa: Nicolas Bruna vs Bastian Malla

TennisAce1 sold Nicolas Bruna at 99.5¢. Their side is the other outcome, which the price gave a 1% chance. 32,872 shares, 2 fills, Oct 29, 13:06 EDT.

What this means. A wallet put $32.7k on not Nicolas Bruna, at a price that gave it a 1% chance. The market resolved Nicolas Bruna, and this bet is not graded. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet TennisAce1 sold Nicolas Bruna for $32.7k at an average 99.5¢. At that price the market implied 1% for the side they took. The market resolved Nicolas Bruna. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Med. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $32.7k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
2 fills within 1h+1
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Fresh wallet2.1× this wallet's usual betSports

Same game on Kalshi

Kalshi is a separate US exchange. These are large trades or sudden odds moves on this same game. A public nickname shows when the social feed names that side.

YES Nicolas Bruna$17.9k91.9¢12h ago