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Polymarket · Sports · one bet

Excluded
$19.9k

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Astra Invicta - Game 1 Winner

notailnotail sold Astra Invicta at 99.9¢. Their side is the other outcome, which the price gave a 0% chance. 19,962 shares, Oct 28, 10:45 EDT.

What this means. A wallet put $19.9k on not Astra Invicta, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market resolved Astra Invicta, and this bet is not graded. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet notailnotail sold Astra Invicta for $19.9k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied 0% for the side they took. The market resolved Astra Invicta. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $19.9k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
[04] Price

Entry to resolution

Entry to resolution

Grade -0 pts
Astra Invicta price · entry 99.9¢ · resolved Astra Invicta · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.9¢ · $19.9k WHALE $19.9K @ 99.9¢
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

[05]

Other flags on this market

Market page
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Astra Invicta - Game 1 WinnerLOW SELL Astra Invicta @ 99.9¢ $10.7k0% xuxuntao NEW1d agoExcluded