What happened
Wallet RN1 took Appalachian State (buy) for $12.1k at an average 53¢. At that price the market implied a 53% chance for that side. The market resolved Appalachian State. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWShares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 53¢
- Implied odds
- 53.0%
- As American odds
- −113 no vig
- Size
- $12.1k
- Placed
- Oct 16, 20:31 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 16, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Appalachian State
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- RN1
- Tx
- 0xd1b8d75e…
Entry to resolution
Grade +47 ptsOther flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina | LOW BUY Appalachian State @ 52¢ | $23.9k | excluded |
| Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina | MED BUY Coastal Carolina @ 51¢ | $181.4k 9.1× usual |
excluded |
| Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina | MED BUY Coastal Carolina @ 48¢ | $38.0k | missed |
Whale money on this game, both venues
$10k+ trades we flagged on Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina, added up per side across Polymarket and Kalshi. These are trade sizes, not open positions, and Kalshi doesn't show who traded, so one person could be on both venues.
Bars are scaled to the bigger side. Activity, not a recommendation: big money on a side has not beaten the price on our scoreboard.
Same game on Kalshi
Kalshi is a separate US exchange for the same kind of yes/no prices. These are large trades or sudden odds moves we flagged there on this same game. Kalshi doesn't show who traded.
| NO Appalachian St. | $10.1k | 77¢ | 8d ago |
| YES Coastal Carolina | $16.1k | 76¢ | 8d ago |
| YES Coastal Carolina | $16.7k | 71¢ | 8d ago |
| NO Appalachian St. | $28.3k | 64¢ | 8d ago |
| YES Coastal Carolina | $44.2k | 59¢ | 8d ago |
| NO Coastal Carolina | $15.4k | 55¢ | 8d ago |
| YES Appalachian St. | $10.1k | 68¢ | 8d ago |
| NO Appalachian St. | $14.2k | 52¢ | 8d ago |