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What this means. A wallet put $300.0k on Detroit Tigers, at a price that gave it a 40% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$300.0k
BUY Detroit Tigers @ 40¢ · 747,316 shares in 5 fills
Size ≥ $250k5 fills in 1h2.2× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet Winnerdinnerchickenjr took Detroit Tigers (buy) for $300.0k at an average 40¢. At that price the market implied a 40% chance for that side. The market resolved Houston Astros, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $300.0k+3
5 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 40¢ means
40%chance the market gave
+149American odds
$1.00paid per share if Detroit Tigers wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 40¢
- Implied odds
- 40.1%
- As American odds
- +149 no vig
- Size
- $300.0k
- Placed
- Jun 16, 18:01 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 16, 20:10 EDT
- Result
- Houston Astros
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Winnerdinnerchickenjr
- Tx
- 0xd092e211…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-66.3 pts
expected 0.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -40 ptsDetroit Tigers price · entry 40¢ · resolved Houston Astros
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros | LOW SELL Houston Astros @ 99.9¢ | $162.3k | excluded |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros | LOW BUY Houston Astros @ 94¢ | $100.0k | excluded |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros | MED BUY Detroit Tigers @ 41¢ | $162.5k 2.0× usual |
excluded |