← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $20.0k on Aurora Gaming, at a price that gave it a 43% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$20.0k
BUY Aurora Gaming @ 43¢ · 46,786 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet qiu3 took Aurora Gaming (buy) for $20.0k at an average 43¢. At that price the market implied a 43% chance for that side. The market resolved Aurora Gaming. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $20.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 43¢ means
43%chance the market gave
+134American odds
$1.00paid per share if Aurora Gaming wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 43¢
- Implied odds
- 42.7%
- As American odds
- +134 no vig
- Size
- $20.0k
- Placed
- Oct 06, 12:45 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 06, 11:40 EDT
- Result
- Aurora Gaming
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- qiu3
- Tx
- 0xce31d31b…
This wallet's graded record
3/3+27.3 pts
expected 2.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +57 ptsAurora Gaming price · entry 43¢ · resolved Aurora Gaming
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner | LOW SELL Aurora Gaming @ 99.9¢ | $26.4k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner | LOW SELL Aurora Gaming @ 99.9¢ | $57.0k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner | LOW SELL Aurora Gaming @ 99.9¢ | $31.3k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner | LOW BUY Aurora Gaming @ 99.9¢ | $29.1k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner | LOW BUY Aurora Gaming @ 99.9¢ | $15.5k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner | LOW BUY Aurora Gaming @ 42¢ | $10.0k | excluded |