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What this means. A wallet put $28.5k on No, at a price that gave it a 27% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$28.5k
BUY No @ 27¢ · 105,563 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet Paracellus took No (buy) for $28.5k at an average 27¢. At that price the market implied a 27% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $28.5k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 27¢ means
27%chance the market gave
+270American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 27¢
- Implied odds
- 27.0%
- As American odds
- +270 no vig
- Size
- $28.5k
- Placed
- Jul 07, 11:51 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 07, 12:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Paracellus
- Tx
- 0xc6095ce0…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+32.0 pts
expected 0.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -27 ptsNo price · entry 27¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $17.0k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | HIGH SELL Yes @ 77¢ | $199.8k 10.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $22.5k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.2k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $27.4k | excluded |