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What this means. A wallet put $22.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+1.0 pts over 22 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$22.6k
BUY No @ 97.8¢ · 23,140 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletCrypto
What happened
Wallet 0x8b4b…541b took No (buy) for $22.6k at an average 97.8¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $22.6k+0
Near-certain price-2
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−4445American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 97.8¢
- Implied odds
- 97.8%
- Size
- $22.6k
- Placed
- Feb 19, 01:32 EST
- Market close
- Mar 01, 00:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x8b4b…541b
- Tx
- 0xc4aa7c20…
This wallet's graded record
18/22+1.0 pts
expected 17.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +2 ptsNo price · entry 97.8¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.7k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $15.1k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $15.1k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $15.2k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $15.2k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $15.4k | excluded |