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What this means. A wallet put $16.0k on Novak Djokovic, at a price that gave it a 63% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+10.0 pts over 71 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$16.0k
BUY Novak Djokovic @ 63¢ · 25,405 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Proven walletSports
What happened
Wallet omnibus-076daa took Novak Djokovic (buy) for $16.0k at an average 63¢. At that price the market implied a 63% chance for that side. The market resolved Mariano Navone. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $16.0k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 63¢ means
63%chance the market gave
−170American odds
$1.00paid per share if Novak Djokovic wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 63¢
- Implied odds
- 63.0%
- As American odds
- −170 no vig
- Size
- $16.0k
- Placed
- Aug 30, 23:07 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 30, 19:10 EDT
- Result
- Mariano Navone
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- omnibus-076daa
- Tx
- 0xc1f49c42…
This wallet's graded record
41/71+10.0 pts
expected 33.9 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic | LOW BUY Mariano Navone @ 99.9¢ | $11.7k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic | MED SELL Mariano Navone @ 87¢ | $25.9k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic | LOW BUY Mariano Navone @ 46¢ | $32.4k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic | MED SELL Novak Djokovic @ 79¢ | $35.4k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic | LOW BUY Novak Djokovic @ 90¢ | $31.8k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic | LOW BUY Novak Djokovic @ 71¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
Same game on Kalshi
Kalshi is a separate US exchange for the same kind of yes/no prices. These are large trades or sudden odds moves we flagged there on this same game. Kalshi doesn't show who traded.
| YES Novak Djokovic | $11.5k | 85¢ | 56d ago |