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What this means. A wallet put $147.0k on not No, at a price that gave it a 2% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
$147.0k
SELL No @ 98.2¢ · 149,714 shares in 13 fills
Size ≥ $100kUnderdog side13 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Fresh walletSports

What happened

Wallet 0x283c…e92f took No (sell) for $147.0k at an average 98.2¢. At that price the market implied a 2% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

HIGH
Size $147.0k+2
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
13 fills within 1h+1
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
98.2¢
Implied odds
1.8%
As American odds
+5456 no vig
Size
$147.0k
Placed
Apr 14, 17:56 EDT
Market close
Jul 10, 20:12 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
0x283c…e92f
Tx
0xbfa0a56a…

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $11.9k0% lck111105d agoexcluded
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $20.0k100% degenofweb3105d agoexcluded
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ $12.9k99% Desy-1725192185234105d agoexcluded
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL Yes @ 2.1¢ $10.7k98% 0xb886…81b3106d agoexcluded
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 97.9¢ $10.9k98% SplendidAmadeus106d agoexcluded
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY Yes @ 2.2¢ $23.8k2% suntori LOSING106d agoexcluded