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What this means. A wallet put $12.8k on Patriots, at a price that gave it a 32% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Seahawks vs. Patriotsmissed
$12.8k
BUY Patriots @ 32¢ · 40,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Sports

What happened

Wallet VeryLucky888 took Patriots (buy) for $12.8k at an average 32¢. At that price the market implied a 32% chance for that side. The market resolved Seahawks, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $12.8k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 32¢ means
32%chance the market gave
+212American odds
$1.00paid per share if Patriots wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
32¢
Implied odds
32.0%
As American odds
+212 no vig
Size
$12.8k
Placed
Feb 01, 21:42 EST
Market close
Feb 08, 18:30 EST
Result
Seahawks
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
VeryLucky888
Tx
0xbdd53aad…
This wallet's graded record
0/2-39.5 pts
expected 0.8 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -32 pts
Patriots price · entry 32¢ · resolved Seahawks
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 32¢ · $12.8k WHALE $12.8K @ 32¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Seahawks vs. PatriotsLOW SELL Seahawks @ 99.9¢ $20.6k0% IAmHomelessNow257d agoexcluded
Seahawks vs. PatriotsLOW SELL Seahawks @ 99.9¢ $19.5k0% 0x6131…0550257d agoexcluded
Seahawks vs. PatriotsLOW SELL Seahawks @ 99.9¢ $29.7k0% 0x9852…111a257d agoexcluded
Seahawks vs. PatriotsLOW SELL Seahawks @ 99.9¢ $29.4k0% 0xb726…0664257d agoexcluded
Seahawks vs. PatriotsLOW SELL Seahawks @ 99.9¢ $30.0k0% 0x7671…7244257d agoexcluded
Seahawks vs. PatriotsLOW SELL Seahawks @ 99.9¢ $20.3k0% 0x716d…4206257d agoexcluded