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What this means. A wallet put $15.6k on Over, at a price that gave it a 32% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$15.6k
BUY Over @ 32¢ · 48,662 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideSports
What happened
Wallet FIFAbro took Over (buy) for $15.6k at an average 32¢. At that price the market implied a 32% chance for that side. The market resolved Under, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $15.6k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 32¢ means
32%chance the market gave
+212American odds
$1.00paid per share if Over wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 32¢
- Implied odds
- 32.1%
- As American odds
- +212 no vig
- Size
- $15.6k
- Placed
- Jul 02, 17:20 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 02, 19:00 EDT
- Result
- Under
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- FIFAbro
- Tx
- 0xbc7ace46…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-32.1 pts
expected 0.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -32 ptsOver price · entry 32¢ · resolved Under
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5 | MED SELL Under @ 96.1¢ | $23.2k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5 | LOW BUY Under @ 78¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5 | LOW BUY Under @ 96.8¢ | $16.9k | excluded |
| Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5 | LOW SELL Under @ 95.3¢ | $23.1k | excluded |
| Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5 | LOW SELL Under @ 86¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5 | LOW BUY Under @ 92.9¢ | $13.9k | excluded |