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Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5excluded
What this means. A wallet put $23.1k on not Under, at a price that gave it a 5% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5excluded$23.1k
SELL Under @ 95.3¢ · 24,266 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet allen114 took Under (sell) for $23.1k at an average 95.3¢. At that price the market implied a 5% chance for that side. The market resolved Under. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $23.1k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 95.3¢
- Implied odds
- 4.7%
- As American odds
- +2044 no vig
- Size
- $23.1k
- Placed
- Jul 02, 20:48 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 02, 19:00 EDT
- Result
- Under
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- allen114
- Tx
- 0xd4ac4739…
This wallet's graded record
7/8-6.2 pts
expected 7.5 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5 | MED SELL Under @ 96.1¢ | $23.2k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5 | LOW BUY Under @ 78¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5 | LOW BUY Under @ 96.8¢ | $16.9k | excluded |
| Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5 | LOW SELL Under @ 86¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5 | LOW BUY Under @ 92.9¢ | $13.9k | excluded |
| Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 31¢ | $12.1k | excluded |