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Polymarket · Sports · one bet

Excluded
$50.0k

Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-10-28?

nb1985 bought No at 43¢. The price gave that side a 43% chance. 116,279 shares, Oct 28, 12:31 EDT.

What this means. A wallet put $50.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 43% chance. The market resolved Yes, and this bet is not graded. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet nb1985 bought No for $50.0k at an average 43¢. At that price the market implied 43% for the side they took. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

This wallet is 0 of 1 on graded bets, -60.6 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $50.0k+1
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What 43¢ means
43%chance the market gave
+133American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

[04] Price

Entry to resolution

Entry to resolution

Grade -43 pts
No price · entry 43¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 43¢ · $50.0k WHALE $50.0K @ 43¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules