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What this means. A wallet put $24.9k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded
$24.9k
SELL No @ 99.8¢ · 25,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEconomy

What happened

Wallet noreasapa took No (sell) for $24.9k at an average 99.8¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $24.9k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.8¢
Implied odds
0.2%
Size
$24.9k
Placed
Jan 27, 07:51 EST
Market close
Jan 27, 19:00 EST
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
noreasapa
Tx
0xb49eacd5…

Entry to resolution

Grade -0 pts
No price · entry 99.8¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.8¢ · $24.9k WHALE $24.9K @ 99.8¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $99.9k0% ClaudeAI269d agoexcluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $18.4k0% 0x2060…be52269d agoexcluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $18.7k0% 0xcc46…d7e2269d agoexcluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $18.3k0% 0x5ef1…8b83269d agoexcluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $18.2k0% 0xe9eb…1410269d agoexcluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $17.3k0% 0x8c49…54fa269d agoexcluded