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What this means. A wallet put $15.2k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 54% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$15.2k
SELL Yes @ 46¢ · 33,019 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Crypto
What happened
Wallet GeorgeIII took Yes (sell) for $15.2k at an average 46¢. At that price the market implied a 54% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $15.2k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 46¢
- Implied odds
- 54.0%
- Size
- $15.2k
- Placed
- Apr 25, 08:27 EDT
- Market close
- May 01, 00:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- GeorgeIII
- Tx
- 0xb2f094ba…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+49.0 pts
expected 0.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +46 ptsYes price · entry 46¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | MED SELL No @ 80¢ | $29.6k | missed |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | LOW BUY No @ 88¢ | $20.0k | called |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | LOW BUY No @ 86¢ | $17.2k | called |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | LOW BUY No @ 83¢ | $13.4k | called |