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What this means. A wallet put $20.0k on Daniil Medvedev, at a price that gave it a 48% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$20.0k
BUY Daniil Medvedev @ 48¢ · 41,667 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0x760f…326a took Daniil Medvedev (buy) for $20.0k at an average 48¢. At that price the market implied a 48% chance for that side. The market resolved Novak Djokovic. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $20.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 48¢ means
48%chance the market gave
+108American odds
$1.00paid per share if Daniil Medvedev wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 48¢
- Implied odds
- 48.0%
- As American odds
- +108 no vig
- Size
- $20.0k
- Placed
- Oct 05, 08:29 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 05, 07:15 EDT
- Result
- Novak Djokovic
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x760f…326a
- Tx
- 0xb253dcfc…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+43.3 pts
expected 0.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -48 ptsDaniil Medvedev price · entry 48¢ · resolved Novak Djokovic
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev | LOW SELL Novak Djokovic @ 99.9¢ | $84.8k 4.8× usual |
excluded |
| China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev | LOW SELL Novak Djokovic @ 99.9¢ | $27.7k | excluded |
| China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev | LOW SELL Novak Djokovic @ 99.9¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev | LOW SELL Novak Djokovic @ 99.9¢ | $32.0k | excluded |
| China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev | LOW SELL Novak Djokovic @ 99.9¢ | $97.7k | excluded |
| China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev | LOW SELL Novak Djokovic @ 99.9¢ | $15.6k | excluded |