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What this means. A wallet put $10.8k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 53% chance. It won. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?called
$10.8k
BUY Yes @ 53¢ · 20,296 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Economy

What happened

Wallet aghy took Yes (buy) for $10.8k at an average 53¢. At that price the market implied a 53% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $10.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 53¢ means
53%chance the market gave
−114American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
53¢
Implied odds
53.2%
Size
$10.8k
Placed
Jul 29, 23:53 EDT
Market close
Sep 15, 20:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
aghy
Tx
0xb1b945c2…
This wallet's graded record
4/4+55.9 pts
expected 1.8 from price
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