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What this means. A wallet put $34.1k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 2?excluded
$34.1k
BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ · 34,154 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Crypto

What happened

Wallet onekey09 took Yes (buy) for $34.1k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $34.1k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
99.9¢
Implied odds
99.9%
Size
$34.1k
Placed
Feb 02, 11:58 EST
Market close
Feb 02, 12:00 EST
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
onekey09
Tx
0xb1a2eaaa…
This wallet's graded record
2/2+7.7 pts
expected 1.8 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +0 pts
Yes price · entry 99.9¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.9¢ · $34.1k WHALE $34.1K @ 99.9¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 2?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $10.0k0% 0x8a77…2a90264d agoexcluded
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 2?LOW SELL No @ 76¢ $16.2k24% 0x1f55…e9a4265d agocalled