WhaleGrader Account
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Polymarket · Sports · one bet

Missed
$16.1k

Frosinone Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 5.5

0x9e16…a795 bought Under at 85¢. The price gave that side a 85% chance. 18,909 shares, Oct 29, 12:10 EDT.

What this means. A wallet put $16.1k on Under, at a price that gave it a 85% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet 0x9e16…a795 bought Under for $16.1k at an average 85¢. At that price the market implied 85% for the side they took. The market resolved Over, so this flag missed. It still counts toward the score.

This wallet is 0 of 1 on graded bets, -85.1 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $16.1k+0
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteSports
What 85¢ means
85%chance the market gave
−571American odds
$1.00paid per share if Under wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

[04] Price

Entry to resolution

Entry to resolution

Grade -85 pts
Under price · entry 85¢ · resolved Over
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 85¢ · $16.1k WHALE $16.1K @ 85¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

Same game on Kalshi

Kalshi is a separate US exchange. These are large trades or sudden odds moves on this same game. A public nickname shows when the social feed names that side.

YES Tie$14.2k23¢12h ago