← Live flags
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $19.5k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 42% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a losing record: -19.3 pts vs the price over 28 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?excluded$19.5k
SELL Yes @ 58¢ · 33,565 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet surfandturf took Yes (sell) for $19.5k at an average 58¢. At that price the market implied a 42% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $19.5k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 58¢
- Implied odds
- 42.0%
- As American odds
- +138 no vig
- Size
- $19.5k
- Placed
- Jun 26, 19:23 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 26, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- surfandturf
- Tx
- 0xaa4db9c0…
This wallet's graded record
10/28-19.3 pts
expected 15.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -42 ptsYes price · entry 58¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.9k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $41.0k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $19.0k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $16.8k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |