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What this means. A wallet put $16.1k on Aurora, at a price that gave it a 46% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$16.1k
BUY Aurora @ 46¢ · 35,090 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet SPCEXBUYER took Aurora (buy) for $16.1k at an average 46¢. At that price the market implied a 46% chance for that side. The market resolved Team Liquid. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $16.1k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 46¢ means
46%chance the market gave
+117American odds
$1.00paid per share if Aurora wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 46¢
- Implied odds
- 46.0%
- As American odds
- +117 no vig
- Size
- $16.1k
- Placed
- Aug 15, 09:08 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 15, 08:00 EDT
- Result
- Team Liquid
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- SPCEXBUYER
- Tx
- 0xa9ec7940…
This wallet's graded record
2/6-12.0 pts
expected 2.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -46 ptsAurora price · entry 46¢ · resolved Team Liquid
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner | LOW SELL Team Liquid @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner | LOW SELL Team Liquid @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner | LOW SELL Team Liquid @ 99.9¢ | $21.6k | excluded |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner | LOW SELL Team Liquid @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner | LOW SELL Team Liquid @ 99.9¢ | $12.4k | excluded |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner | LOW BUY Aurora @ 56¢ | $13.3k | excluded |