Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

risk-manager sold No at 89¢. Their side is the other outcome, which the price gave a 11% chance. 14,619 shares, Oct 29, 13:47 EDT.

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What this means. A wallet put $13.0k on not No, at a price that gave it a 11% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →

[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet risk-manager sold No for $13.0k at an average 89¢. At that price the market implied 11% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $13.0k+0

Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1

Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Politics

[04] Price

Price since the bet

Price since this bet

Since entry +1.6 pts

No price · entry 89¢ · now 87¢ · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way

Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days

Gov. Gavin Newsom to send election attorneys to counter federal poll watchersSacramento Bee · Google News · 11h ago California Gov. Newsom to deploy election lawyer teams to monitor congressional voteKCRA · Google News · 14h ago Gov. Newsom Executive Order to Protect PCH in Malibu Ahead of Potential Powerful El Niño StormsCity of Malibu, CA · Google News · 1d ago Gov. Gavin Newsom touts 13% drop in California unsheltered homeless since 2024Sacramento Bee · Google News · 1d ago

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

GNWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?