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Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $60.1k on No, at a price that gave it a 37% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?excluded$60.1k
BUY No @ 37¢ · 162,369 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $10k3 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet gambamaster took No (buy) for $60.1k at an average 37¢. At that price the market implied a 37% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $60.1k+1
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 37¢ means
37%chance the market gave
+170American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 37¢
- Implied odds
- 37.0%
- As American odds
- +170 no vig
- Size
- $60.1k
- Placed
- Jun 21, 16:08 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 21, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- gambamaster
- Tx
- 0xa6b9dd67…
This wallet's graded record
2/3+27.4 pts
expected 1.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +63 ptsNo price · entry 37¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $40.9k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $45.0k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $17.6k | excluded |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.6k | excluded |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | LOW SELL No @ 85¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | LOW BUY No @ 85¢ | $19.1k | excluded |