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What this means. A wallet put $16.5k on Andres Andrade, at a price that gave it a 60% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 18 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$16.5k
BUY Andres Andrade @ 60¢ · 27,509 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet NS13 took Andres Andrade (buy) for $16.5k at an average 60¢. At that price the market implied a 60% chance for that side. The market resolved Aidan Mayo, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $16.5k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 60¢ means
60%chance the market gave
−149American odds
$1.00paid per share if Andres Andrade wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 60¢
- Implied odds
- 59.8%
- As American odds
- −149 no vig
- Size
- $16.5k
- Placed
- Aug 29, 17:23 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 29, 19:10 EDT
- Result
- Aidan Mayo
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- NS13
- Tx
- 0xa2b6b004…
This wallet's graded record
9/18-0.2 pts
expected 9.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -60 ptsAndres Andrade price · entry 60¢ · resolved Aidan Mayo
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Kingston 2: Aidan Mayo vs Andres Andrade | MED SELL Andres Andrade @ 47¢ | $57.0k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| Kingston 2: Aidan Mayo vs Andres Andrade | LOW SELL Aidan Mayo @ 80¢ | $12.4k | excluded |
| Kingston 2: Aidan Mayo vs Andres Andrade | LOW SELL Andres Andrade @ 34¢ | $17.6k | excluded |
| Kingston 2: Aidan Mayo vs Andres Andrade | LOW BUY Aidan Mayo @ 78¢ | $14.3k | excluded |
| Kingston 2: Aidan Mayo vs Andres Andrade | LOW BUY Andres Andrade @ 56¢ | $30.0k | excluded |