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Polymarket · Other · one bet
Excluded
$15.0k
Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026?
Maplesky sold Yes at 99.9¢. Their side is the other outcome, which the price gave a 0% chance. 15,050 shares, Oct 28, 06:52 EDT.
What this means. A wallet put $15.0k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market resolved Yes, and this bet is not graded. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet
What happened
Wallet Maplesky sold Yes for $15.0k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied 0% for the side they took. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
[02] Flag
Why it was flagged
Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology
Size $15.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Other
[04] Price
Entry to resolution
Entry to resolution
Grade -0 ptsYes price · entry 99.9¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Related news
Same names, last 7 daysFlávio Bolsonaro denies fleeing Brazil after landing in MiamiBBC News · 13h agoHow did Flávio Bolsonaro end up in Miami?BBC News · 19h ago
Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules