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What this means. A wallet put $10.2k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 80% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?called
$10.2k
BUY Yes @ 80¢ · 12,800 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Economy

What happened

Wallet Folletin took Yes (buy) for $10.2k at an average 80¢. At that price the market implied a 80% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $10.2k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 80¢ means
80%chance the market gave
−400American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
80¢
Implied odds
80.0%
Size
$10.2k
Placed
Jun 25, 18:54 EDT
Market close
Jul 28, 20:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
Folletin
Tx
0xa13ff67c…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+20.0 pts
expected 0.8 from price
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