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What this means. A wallet put $15.0k on Over, at a price that gave it a 90% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5excluded
$15.0k
BUY Over @ 90¢ · 16,719 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet EthanKoon took Over (buy) for $15.0k at an average 90¢. At that price the market implied a 90% chance for that side. The market resolved Under. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $15.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 90¢ means
90%chance the market gave
−853American odds
$1.00paid per share if Over wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
90¢
Implied odds
89.5%
As American odds
−853 no vig
Size
$15.0k
Placed
Jul 19, 15:12 EDT
Market close
Jul 19, 15:00 EDT
Result
Under
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
EthanKoon
Tx
0xa082b4b0…

Entry to resolution

Grade -90 pts
Over price · entry 90¢ · resolved Under
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 90¢ · $15.0k WHALE $15.0K @ 90¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5LOW SELL Under @ 99.8¢ $13.3k0% FinalOrder97d agoexcluded
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5LOW BUY Under @ 99¢ $14.9k99% mrnobodyinvejoso97d agoexcluded
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5LOW SELL Over @ 27¢ $11.5k73% 0xcc32…92d297d agoexcluded
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5LOW BUY Under @ 67¢ $13.5k67% Winnerdinnerchickenjr97d agoexcluded
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5LOW BUY Under @ 61¢ $22.5k61% cosmicxbt97d agoexcluded
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5LOW SELL Over @ 83¢ $18.7k17% 0x9969…055497d agoexcluded