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What this means. A wallet put $14.4k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 78% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+8.5 pts over 35 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$14.4k
BUY Yes @ 78¢ · 18,451 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletEconomy
What happened
Wallet MisTKy took Yes (buy) for $14.4k at an average 78¢. At that price the market implied a 78% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $14.4k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 78¢ means
78%chance the market gave
−353American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 78¢
- Implied odds
- 77.9%
- Size
- $14.4k
- Placed
- Jul 24, 12:10 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 28, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- MisTKy
- Tx
- 0x9f76a3b7…
This wallet's graded record
25/35+8.5 pts
expected 22.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +22 ptsYes price · entry 78¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $19.1k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.5k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.7k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.2k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.8k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.1k | excluded |