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What this means. A wallet put $14.6k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 27% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$14.6k
SELL Yes @ 73¢ · 20,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideSports
What happened
Wallet stockpicks took Yes (sell) for $14.6k at an average 73¢. At that price the market implied a 27% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $14.6k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 73¢
- Implied odds
- 27.0%
- As American odds
- +270 no vig
- Size
- $14.6k
- Placed
- Jul 07, 10:59 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 07, 12:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- stockpicks
- Tx
- 0x9eafed06…
This wallet's graded record
2/4-2.0 pts
expected 2.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -27 ptsYes price · entry 73¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $17.0k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | HIGH SELL Yes @ 77¢ | $199.8k 10.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $22.5k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.2k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $27.4k | excluded |