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Trail Blazers vs. Spursexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $12.6k on not Spurs, at a price that gave it a 27% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a losing record: -18.2 pts vs the price over 26 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.6k
SELL Spurs @ 73¢ · 17,230 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet suntori took Spurs (sell) for $12.6k at an average 73¢. At that price the market implied a 27% chance for that side. The market resolved Trail Blazers. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.6k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 73¢
- Implied odds
- 26.9%
- As American odds
- +272 no vig
- Size
- $12.6k
- Placed
- Apr 21, 20:47 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 21, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Trail Blazers
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- suntori
- Tx
- 0x9c4e06db…
This wallet's graded record
10/26-18.2 pts
expected 14.7 from price
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Entry to resolution
Grade +73 ptsSpurs price · entry 73¢ · resolved Trail Blazers · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Trail Blazers @ 99¢ | $32.4k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Trail Blazers @ 89¢ | $21.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Trail Blazers @ 89¢ | $20.4k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Trail Blazers @ 89¢ | $26.3k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Spurs @ 4.8¢ | $11.3k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Trail Blazers @ 89¢ | $14.1k | excluded |