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What this means. A wallet put $68.4k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 1% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$68.4k
SELL Yes @ 99¢ · 69,128 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)3.5× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet Palauanbull took Yes (sell) for $68.4k at an average 99¢. At that price the market implied a 1% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $68.4k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99¢
- Implied odds
- 1.0%
- As American odds
- +9900 no vig
- Size
- $68.4k
- Placed
- Jul 02, 20:29 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 02, 19:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Palauanbull
- Tx
- 0x9c232ce3…
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Entry to resolution
Grade -1 ptsYes price · entry 99¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $61.3k | excluded |
| Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score | LOW SELL Yes @ 99¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score | LOW BUY No @ 70¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score | LOW SELL No @ 70¢ | $13.1k | excluded |
| Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score | MED BUY No @ 45¢ | $28.2k | excluded |
| Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score | LOW BUY Yes @ 59¢ | $15.4k | excluded |